UK election 2017: The fallibility of pollsters

Global Dr Justin's pictureDr Justin Pyvis

First Brexit, then Donald Trump. Now it is Jeremy Corbyn, an avowed socialist the polls gave no chance of winning the British election (see our aggregated poll chart below sourced from Britain Elects), whom at the time of writing is the Paddy Power and Betfair favourite to be the new Prime Minister.

Strike three, you're out. Even if Corbyn does not get up from here, the difference in the polls and the actual result will be large. Electoral polls are but tools of the manipulative mainstream media and they do investors and pundits a disservice by obfuscating rather than providing clarity. While the future is never guaranteed and political favourites can fall overnight with the simplest of gaffes, listening to the people them …

Please sign in to view the rest of this research article.

Sign in

About the author

Dr Justin Pyvis is the Founder and Chief Economist at Pixelics. Justin is a published academic who has previously worked at AECOM, a global consultancy on the Fortune 500 and more recently with Asianomics Group, an economic, corporate and technical analysis research company based in Hong Kong.